Here we go again-Ukraine once again

[Jimbuna]

On the Kramatorsk and Bakhmut directions, Ukrainian defenders repelled enemy assaults and pushed back the enemy.

This is stated in the operational information of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine regarding the Russian invasion as of 07:00 a.m. on July 26 on Facebook, Censor.NET reports.

Thus, the one hundred and fifty-third day of the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian nation to the Russian military invasion has begun.

In the Volyn and Polissia directions, in the armed forces of the Republic of Belarus, training was held on the communication of control points. From the territory of this country, the conduct of aerial reconnaissance by UAVs of the operational-tactical level in the directions of the cities of Lutsk and Kovel of the Volyn region was noted. The threat of missile and air strikes from the territory and airspace of the Republic of Belarus remains.

In the Siversk direction, the enemy shelled the areas of Khrinivka, Chernihiv region, and Tovstoduboho, Sumy region, with barrel and jet artillery.

In the Slobozhansk direction, the enemy is conducting combat operations with the aim of holding the occupied lines and preventing the advance of our troops.

In the Kharkiv direction, they carried out fire damage from tanks, barrel and rocket artillery in the areas of the settlements of Borshcheva, Pytomnyk, Sosnivka, Ruski Tyshki, Petrivka, Dementiivka, Rubizhne, Duvanka, Mospanove, Ruska Lozova, Chuhuiv, Kluhino-Bashkyrivka, Svitlychne, Pryshyb and Slatine . He carried out airstrikes near Zalyman and Mospanove.

In the Sloviansk direction, the enemy shelled the districts of Nortsivka, Bohorodychne, Dolyna, Chepil, Hrushuvaha, and Velyka Komyshuvakha.

In the Donetsk direction, the enemy is concentrating its main efforts on trying to improve the tactical position and creating conditions for an offensive on the cities of Siversk and Soledar. Enemy units replenish stocks of ammunition and fuel and lubricants.

In the Kramatorsk direction, shelling from barrel and jet artillery was recorded near Kryvya Luka, Zakitne, Dronivka, Hryhorivka, Verkhnokamianske, Zvanivka, Spirne and Pereizne. The enemy launched airstrikes near Spirne and Serebryanka. Our soldiers successfully repelled enemy assaults in the areas of Spirne and the National Nature Park "Svyata Hora" and pushed the enemy back.

In the Bakhmut direction, the enemy is shelling the areas of the settlements of Berestovo, Bilohorivka, Yakovlivka, Soledar, Bakhmut, Pokrovsk, Kostyantynivka, Vesela Dolyna, Zaitseve, Vershyna, Semihirya, Kodema, Travneve, Mayorsk and New York. He carried out airstrikes near Soledar, Vesela Dolyna and the territory of the Vuhlehirska TPP.

Assault actions in the areas of the settlements of Berestov and Semihirya ended with losses and retreat for the enemy. But enemy units are trying to advance in the Pokrovsky direction, hostilities continue.

The enemy did not conduct active operations in the Avdiivka, Novopavliv, and Zaporizhzhia directions. Shelling was recorded in particular near Avdiivka, Zelene Pole, Orikhiv, Shcherbakiv and Kamianske.

In the South Bug direction, the enemy continues to defend himself, concentrates his efforts on preventing the advance of our troops. Fired artillery and tanks along the contact line. He also carried out airstrikes near Velyke Artakovo, Kaluha and Olhine.The enemy pays considerable attention to aerial reconnaissance by UAVs.

In the waters of the Black Sea, outside the base points, there are two Kalibr sea-based cruise missile carriers. There is still a threat of missile strikes on critical infrastructure facilities.

Our planes and helicopters continue to carry out airstrikes against concentrations of enemy manpower and military equipment in designated directions. The occupiers continue to suffer significant losses in battles with Ukrainian soldiers.

[Otto Harkaman]

[Rockstar]

Just adding a little information to go along with otto’s map.

https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11177

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by Otto Harkaman

The Netherlands does not import any Russian gas Russian state gas company Gazprom stopped supplying gas to the Netherlands 31 May. Netherlands is on course of its buildup of gas reserves for this winter.

[Catfish]

Hey Putin how's that Blyatskrieg going?

Nothing like being a russian soldier, holding a beer in his hand and watching one of his army's ammunition depots explode, perfect excuse to not have to go and fight

[mapuc]

Following is from memory taken from a book written by Tom Clancy.

In a war the frontline can stretch very far, where the main battle will be is difficult for the generals to know. As soon they get indication into where on the map the material and troops are quickly moved to this spot.
(Not exactly what Tom wrote in the book Red Storm Rising, It been more than 20 years since I read it last time)

When you see both side building up strength around Kherson I believe the main battle will be there.

Markus

[Skybird]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Following is from memory taken from a book written by Tom Clancy.

In a war the frontline can stretch very far, where the main battle will be is difficult for the generals to know. As soon they get indication into where on the map the material and troops are quickly moved to this spot.
(Not exactly what Tom wrote in the book Red Storm Rising, It been more than 20 years since I read it last time)

When you see both side building up strength around Kherson I believe the main battle will be there.

Markus

Or its just Feint and Reposte.

[vanjast]

There's no getting away from it... Russia is winning
AZOV'S LAST STAND DOCUMENTARY
https://www.bitchute.com/video/qpvQozRm5pou/

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Following is from memory taken from a book written by Tom Clancy.

In a war the frontline can stretch very far, where the main battle will be is difficult for the generals to know. As soon they get indication into where on the map the material and troops are quickly moved to this spot.
(Not exactly what Tom wrote in the book Red Storm Rising, It been more than 20 years since I read it last time)

When you see both side building up strength around Kherson I believe the main battle will be there.

Markus

Ukrainian strike on the large Kherson city bridge at least a dozen hits tonight on several sections of the Antonov bridge across the Dnipro river. There will now be thousands of very nervous Russian soldiers on the northern side of this bridge.

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Dargo

Ukrainian strike on the large Kherson city bridge at least a dozen hits tonight on several sections of the Antonov bridge across the Dnipro river. There will now be thousands of very nervous Russian soldiers on the northern side of this bridge.

Found this article

The war in Ukraine may be heading for its bloodiest phase yet, according to senior Ukrainian officials and western analysts, who say a long-threatened southern counteroffensive by Kyiv’s forces will result in a “huge battle” and will need to overcome increasingly well dug-in Russian troops.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...t-say-analysts

Markus

[mapuc]

A friend from a livestream send me this link.

Let’s remember that four days before that, Putin claimed that “conditions for negotiations were basically there when Russian troops pulled back from the capital of Ukraine… The Kyiv authorities refused to implement the agreements, even though they were almost reached. Therefore, the final result does not depend on the mediators, but on the willingness of the parties to fulfil the agreements reached. We see today that Kyiv authorities do not really want this.”

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato...july-2224.html

Markus

[Skybird]

The historian Niall Ferguson in Die Welt. His arguments unfortunately tick at the same direction like my thought, too.
-----------
The well-known historian Niall Ferguson believes that the U.S. made a major tactical mistake in the Ukraine war. His prognosis for Ukraine is therefore bitter. It also has to do with the West and the expectation of how it will behave toward Russia.

"The war is harder to end the longer it goes on. And it's getting harder by the week," says Niall Ferguson. The well-known Scottish historian is currently a professor at Havard University and has written numerous best-selling books on political and historical topics.

The problem from Ukraine's perspective here is that "unfortunately, time is working in Putin's favor." Although the Russian invasion was disastrous to begin with, "the more Ukraine is devastated," the harder it is for Kiev to win, Ferguson told " Welt " in an interview.

"Putin has bought time to change his strategy, and instead of conquering Kiev and occupying all of Ukraine, he has focused on the Donbass." Now Russia is waging "a war of attrition" without ceasefires, he said. "That plays into Putin's cards," Ferguson said.

But a major problem, he said, is also the question of future support from the West, especially the United States. The sticking point here: consistency. "The U.S. has already given $50 billion in aid to Ukraine. Will they give another 50 in the second half of the year? And next year?" asks Ferguson, making a grim prediction: "Putin knows that Western unity in defense of Ukraine has an expiration date."

War fatigue was already setting in among the West, he said. Moreover, Washington has made serious tactical mistakes, he said. "Joe Biden's administration did nothing to end this war early," Ferguson says. The reason: It believed it would be bad for Putin if the war lasted longer. However, she says, that did not materialize, nor did hopes for a Putin withdrawal or even a palace coup.

"In my opinion, this was a mistake and stupid," Ferguson criticized. "The war should have ended when Russia was doing badly and Ukraine was doing well." Instead of seeking an end to the war, he says, Biden flew to Poland, called Putin a war criminal and called for his overthrow. "Now it's too late. Russia is getting stronger and Ukraine is getting weaker." According to Ferguson, however, Biden would continue to rule out U.S. and NATO military intervention in Ukraine.

The historian also does not believe that Russia will give up because of the imposed sanctions. "I have never believed in the effectiveness of sanctions. As long as Russia can sell gas and oil, the ruble will remain strong and Russia will survive."

Instead, the expert predicts that the Russian food blockade will lead to inflation in the West and potentially famine in Africa. "This will only increase the pressure." The inevitable consequence, according to Ferguson: "In the fall, the West's resolve to support the war will weaken. The demand for Ukraine to make territorial concessions and the de facto partition of the country will begin."

[Catfish]

Ferguson may be right, but we should not fall for war fatigue and russian propaganda implying that any resistance would be futile anyway (see the excellent vidoe on russian propaganda posted here by Viper: https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/sho...postcount=5215).
We have seen what the resistance of a relatively small country like Ukraine can and did do to Russia's army, and navy.

Russia says it has more staying power and some here seem to believe this, but don't get fooled. The sanctions do work, Kasachstan and Chechenia are going to trouble Russia, with China lurking in the background. Putin will not be able to hold up his fake economy and likewise "support" from russians forever.

Yes, there is a genuine danger that western support may cease. After Putin's support in 2016 for the US president who would presumably do the most damage to the west, even a new republican government might stop the support – though it is not sure they would.
Could also happen with a democrat government, or with any western nation. It is one thing to publicly support help and liberation – but over years, when it costs money, when you lose votes with unpopular decisions?

But we should help to get this war over asap, and this works best with full, unwavering support.

[Skybird]

Problem is western people do not feel to be at war themselves, they feel affected by two other sides war. The willingness to provide financial and material basis to continue that war, will shrink. Its unrealistic to expect it wont. Putin knows that. So he waits, and increases stress for the West. Again, neizher corona nor the war have caused inflation and our illusion-made other inner problems, they only accelerate these processes, are catalysing them. And btw, european military ressources are limited, too. I cannot see that we are about to switch to war production. Russia has, and is in the switch, as far as it can.

[Catfish]

^

Originally Posted by Skybird

Problem is western people do not feel to be at war themselves [...]

Most russian people on the street do not feel at war either. Let's change that.


The treaty signed by Russia that did not hold 24 hours:



I'd give a penny or two for Lavrov's real thoughts after shooting himself in the foot once more.
Or for Erdoghan's thoughts ..