Here we go again-Ukraine once again pt2

[mapuc]

Markus

[August]

[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

Vladimir Putin is 'Dead' After Rumored Illness, 'Understudy' Recognized as Stand-in President: Kremlin Source Say

AKremlin source alleged that Vladimir Putin died over the weekend, and a body double has been officially recognized as the president of Russia, RadarOnline.com has learned.

The report follows rumors that Putin, 71, suffered a heart attack in recent weeks and was living out his final days in solitude while the alleged doppelgängers carried out official duties.

According to the Telegram channel General SRV, which claims to relay information from a Kremlin insider, Putin diedat his Valdai residence last week.

"There was a 'viewing' of the double of the late Russian President Vladimir Putin by a representative composition of the permanent members of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. In essence, the understudy has already held similar meetings, but this was during Putin’s lifetime, and now Nikolai Patrushev has arranged a kind of acceptance of the understudy in the image of the President by everyone who is related to the first and, partially, the second circle of people close to the 'President,'" the channel posted.

The channel added that Putin's new "understudy" had allegedly been recognized and is "ready to accept the new rules of the game."

"It is worth noting that the double held both a meeting with permanent members of the Security Council via video link and a face-to-face meeting with representatives of the Security Council, the Government and the leadership of law enforcement agencies," General SRV's post continued.

"Nikolai Patrushev believes that everyone present at the meetings thus recognizes the understudy as the 'President' and is ready to accept the new rules of the game – and a grandiose game is being started."

The Telegram channel previously claimed that Putin had to be "resuscitated" after guards found him convulsing and lying on the ground after suffering the alleged heart attack.

While details on Putin's alleged death remain unclear, the channel suggested that the late despot's body was being kept at the Valdai residence.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world...afaefe15&ei=20

[Skybird]

Kagemusha, eh...?

[Exocet25fr]

Ukrainian Cities And Villages Come Under Record Number Of Attacks.Ukraine has said that 118 cities and villages were shelled by Russia on October 31, the largest number of settlements to come under attack this year. The shelling was recorded in 10 Ukrainian regions, the Ukrainian Interior Ministry said on November 1.

https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-citi.../32665117.html


Russia-Ukraine war live: North Korea has sent a million artillery shells to Russia, says South Korea.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/li...unding-support


US-made F-16s will survive just a few weeks in Ukraine. Russian air defenses are proving highly successful at downing Ukrainian planes, Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said. Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu claimed on Wednesday that the entire fleet of F-16 warplanes pledged to Kiev by Western donors could be destroyed in less than three weeks. He based his claim on the high rate of success shown by Russian air defenses in shooting down Ukrainian military aircraft last month.

https://www.rt.com/russia/586346-sho...ine-f16-fleet/


Ukraine is losing – Russian defense minister
Kiev’s forces are dwindling despite supplies of Western weapons, Sergey Shoigu has reported. Kiev’s attempts to advance on the front line remain fruitless and are resulting in high battlefield losses and decreasing morale among Ukrainian troops, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu has said.

https://www.rt.com/russia/586340-kie...losing-moscow/


Comparing Ukraine with Gaza, Russia accuses Israel of hypocrisy
Moscow argues that Prime Minister Yair Lapid cannot condemn Russia for alleged war crimes while attacking the Gaza Strip.

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals...rael-hypocrisy

[Jimbuna]

[Exocet25fr]

That’s Five Leopard 2 Losses In A Week.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidax...ses-in-a-week/


Tank production grows sevenfold in Russia. Manufacturing of certain military hardware has grown by a factor of 60 over the past year, state arms group Rostec revealed.

https://www.rt.com/russia/586358-tan...growth-rostec/


Ukraine conflict fatigue is growing, Italian PM tells pranksters. Weariness and mounting problems in the EU necessitate a compromise, Giorgia Meloni said.

https://www.rt.com/russia/586348-vov...-meloni-prank/

[Dargo]

A million artillery shells from North Korea is not enough Russian artillery doctrine used 30,000 shells a day that did not win them anything in the past. Such intensity wears out the guns, requires extensive support, and is less viable as Russia loses the radars it needs to find and suppress Ukrainian artillery. Russian artillery doctrine is still largely based on extensive analysis of World War II data to determine how many shells were needed to achieve a specific effect, but this is a modern war, not WWII. Russia may be able to increase production of artillery in the next couple of years to about 2 million shells annually, estimated Russia fired between 10 million and 11 million rounds last year in Ukraine. If you expended 10 million rounds last year, and you're in the middle of a fight, and you can only produce 1 to 3 million rounds a year, I don't think that's a very strong position. Other Russia investments in its defence sector may also allow Moscow to produce close to 200 tanks a year, but that is a far cry from what it needs after suffering heavy losses in Ukraine. When you've lost +2,000 tanks, you've got a decade before you get to where you started, Russia had also lost +4,000 armoured fighting vehicles, over 100 aircraft and suffered 270,000 casualties in the conflict, including both forces killed and wounded. Again, a decade before Russia gets to where it began this war.

[Skybird]

Now look at artillery ammunition supply for Ukraine. But dont get depressed.



And where thge Ruzssians, as you say, wear out their artillery tubes, they also wear out Ukrainian forces.



And this: Russia will never stop wave tactics, for operational and doctrinal reasonsl but also for a psychological reason: they want to destroy the Ukrainians' belief that it will ever end, that the Russian could not endlessly sustain that. Its about discouraging and psychological wear-down. Preventing Ukrainians to see a light at the end of the tunnel.

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by Skybird

Now look at artillery ammunition supply for Ukraine. But dont get depressed.



And where thge Ruzssians, as you say, wear out their artillery tubes, they also wear out Ukrainian forces.



And this: Russia will never stop wave tactics, for operational and doctrinal reasonsl but also for a psychological reason: they want to destroy the Ukrainians' belief that it will ever end, that the Russian could not endlessly sustain that. Its about discouraging and psychological wear-down. Preventing Ukrainians to see a light at the end of the tunnel.

Ukraine had always less artillery but now outgun Russia it is Ukraine that wears out Russia for the last months Russia losses are huge. Russian Criminal Battalion Storm-Z according to Russian military bloggers, complete units have been decimated recently. Storm-Z cannot match Wagner they are sent forward without any artillery cover often with insufficient weapons and ammunition get no support from tanks or the artillery. The result is that 40 to 70 percent of the men are eliminated within days. So you think cannon meat only with a Kalashnikov or only a shovel to dig their grave against tanks, guns and drones can win this war. In fact, this is a clear waste of quite motivated personnel that if you train them properly arm them properly and give them support on the front they could achieve much more now they are not conquering a meter. Same as the Russian artillery doctrine, this fails Storm-Z criminal battalions are deployed to force a breakthrough when an offensive threatens to stall that is a sign Russia can no longer mount an offensive. Russia shaping this offensive for months, it resulted in a defeat after 2 weeks Russia with it huge stocks of equipment, ammunition and thousands of personnel gives me no impression it will ever win this and at some point in the coming years will settle for a deal to leave Ukraine.

[mapuc]

^ Seem to recall similar words some month before Bakhmut was surrounded and taken.

Yes they have huge losses, however they take a bit everyday around Avdiivka

As I wrote before..It doesn't matter whether they lose 50, 100 or 150.000 men in surrounding Avdiivka. They may end with 10.000 left and still they will see this as a victory.

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

^ Seem to recall similar words some month before Bakhmut was surrounded and taken.

Yes they have huge losses, however they take a bit everyday around Avdiivka

As I wrote before..It doesn't matter whether they lose 50, 100 or 150.000 men in surrounding Avdiivka. They may end with 10.000 left and still they will see this as a victory.

Markus

Situation around Bakhmut was different and Wagner lost 10-30 thousand around this city Wagner is no more and there is no other who could fight it was Wagner that won Bakhmut not the Russian regular army. Storm-Z is not lead or equipped like Wagner, they will not save this offensive the Russian army already lost here and has only a couple of weeks till they cannot push forward (weather) and Storm-Z meat has also mothers, fathers, wives and kids so can not think how they gone sell this as a victory if they do not conquer the city.

[mapuc]

Markus

[Skybird]

Russia could have higher losses than Ukraine - and Ukraine's losses still beign more hurting Ukraine than Russin losses hurt Russia.



Since months it get posted how terrible a beating Russia gets, how triumphantly Ukraine wins battle for battle, and how everything works against Russia. If that would be true: why has the ofensiove bogged own, why has there been nbo operaitonbal breakthrough, why has ther ebeen no strategically relevant goain of land for Ukraine, why are Ukrainian tanks and armies not rolling at will through the prairie, why is Ukrainian critical and infrastructure and villages hit every night, wjy is the ring around Avidivkas slowly, slwoly closing, and why are the Russians still holding their linesx depsite their of so deicisve losses? Where are the Ukrainian reserves and brigades when their elosses have not eaten them up badly?



Not only Russia runs propaganda, Dargo. Ukraine does it, too.


I can only once again recommend the sober, realistic assessments by Austrian Colonel Reisner. Since the war began he has not changed his clam, sober, not emotionally spiking tone, and I think his assessments are spot on. I dont think that Zelensky's propaganda apparatus is happy with him. Even when the world and we and I become a bit more enthusiastic when Ukraine took Robotyne, he kept is understated assessmsents and remained sceptical. And he was - once again - proven right. No comparison to certain Australian and British and American militaries who time and again were wrong in their 3-6 months predictions.



The war is currently a war of attrition. And that is in Russia's vaour, it can endure that longer than Ukraine. Ukraine ahd to move forces form tis former southern offensive region to the East. Their offensive stalled, is done. And I have no clue where they want to get another twelve attack brigades prepared to try again next year. As I see it, the retaking of Crimea currently is more illusory than it was before this offensive. When earlier this year former Gneerla Hidges said he thinks its possible that they retake Crimea by the end of this year or so, my first thought was: "He's on dope."


Its a propaganda war fought from BOTH sides. Dont fall for it.