Here we go again-Ukraine once again

[mapuc]

Originally Posted by Skybird

Markus,
on tactical nukes and nuclear war, I had posted these:

https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/sho...nu#post2832008

https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/sho...nu#post2844539

https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/sho...postcount=7164

Thank you for posting these to fresh up my mind.

Both you and Dargo is correct.

The 64.000 £ question would be-Is he going to use his tactical when he's pressed real hard up in the corner and there's no way out ?

Markus

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by mapuc

Thank you for posting these to fresh up my mind.

Both you and Dargo is correct.

The 64.000 £ question would be-Is he going to use his tactical when he's pressed real hard up in the corner and there's no way out ?

Markus

Crimea, I think, is the only real red line for Putin the risk is that he will then escalate on a grand scale. Putin does not like making decisions. He always takes them very slowly, and late when he is forced into a lightning-fast decision, he tends to panic and overreact. The possible capture of Crimea could, in my opinion, be one such moment to threaten to deploy a small tactical nuclear weapon, because he would see it as an existential moment either for himself, rather than for his country. Putin continues to use the nuclear issue primarily as a political weapon against the West. Every time he does, someone somewhere in the West writes an opinion piece that the situation is getting too dangerous, we need to put pressure on Kiev so that we make an ugly deal with Russia. That is what he is all about. He wants to spread fear and division with it. I still think the actual risk is disproportionate to the rhetoric used. Putin is cunning, but not crazy. I do not see in him a fanatic who will set the world on fire.

[Dargo]

Are the Ukrainian military personnel born for this?

Ukrainian military personnel complete Patriot training in the US

A group of 65 Ukrainian soldiers have completed their training with Patriot surface-to-air missile systems in Port Sill, Oklahoma, and are now on their way to Europe to work together with their fellow soldiers who are currently training in Europe.

Source: Patrick Ryder, spokesman for the Pentagon, during a press briefing on Thursday, 30 March, as European Pravda correspondent reports https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/03/30/7395788/

[Skybird]

On volcanoes.


https://www.theguardian.com/technolo...arfare-tactics

https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...investigation/

https://www.spiegel.de/international...8-1101c5655236

[Dargo]

Originally Posted by Skybird

On volcanoes.


https://www.theguardian.com/technolo...arfare-tactics

https://www.washingtonpost.com/natio...investigation/

https://www.spiegel.de/international...8-1101c5655236

The fall of empires always come from within

[Skybird]

The Sultan nodded and his minions cheered, and so the Russians now get a new NATO member right on their northern border and with a length of - give and take some - roughly 1350 kilometer.

[Jimbuna]

Putin has signed a decree setting out the routine spring conscription campaign, calling 147,000 citizens up for statutory military service.

[Jimbuna]

Originally Posted by Skybird

The Sultan nodded and his minions cheered, and so the Russians now get a new NATO member right on their northern border and with a length of - give and take some - roughly 1350 kilometer.

Hopefully Turkey and Hungary will soon drop their objections to Sweden joining.

[Jimbuna]

Russia is sending a delegation to North Korea to offer food in exchange for weapons, US national security spokesperson John Kirby has said.

Mr Kirby said any arms deal between North Korea and Russia would violate UN Security Council resolutions.

The US has previously accused North Korea of supplying arms to the Russian military in Ukraine and the Wagner group of Russia mercenaries.

Pyongyang earlier denied the claims.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-65131117

[Jimbuna]

[Skybird]

Who was it again saying "If you see a Russian leader destroying his country, economy and civil society - do not disturb him" ?

[FUBAR295]

Originally Posted by Skybird

Who was it again saying "If you see a Russian leader destroying his country, economy and civil society - do not disturb him" ?

Napoleon : "Never disturb a enemy while he is making a mistake."

[Jimbuna]

[Jimbuna]

Russia has taken the presidency of the UN Security Council despite Ukraine urging members to block the move.

The last time Russia had the presidency, February 2022, it launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

It means the Security Council is being led by a country whose president is subject to an international arrest warrant for alleged war crimes.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba called Russia's presidency "the worst joke ever for April Fool's Day" and a "stark reminder that something is wrong with the way international security architecture is functioning".

The US has said its hands were tied as the UN charter does not allow for the removal of a permanent member.

"Unfortunately, Russia is a permanent member of the Security Council and no feasible international legal pathway exists to change that reality," White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told a news briefing this week.

She added the US expects Moscow "to continue to use its seat on the council to spread disinformation" and justify its actions in Ukraine.

[Skybird]

https://www.france24.com/en/europe/2...ry-for-ukraine

It’s not all down to the military equipment. The tanks, armoured vehicles and mobile artillery [supplied by the West] will allow Kyiv to build up coherent and solid combat units, which could spearhead the offensive. But current supplies will only allow Ukrainian forces to build up at most three to four brigades, which is not enough to secure a decisive victory. Kyiv will need at least a dozen brigades for its offensive to be effective – as was the case last September. Moreover, Russian lines are now probably stronger than they were back then, which means the Ukrainians will need to double down. (...)

It is quite likely that the Ukrainian army will see some success, but not strategic victories that would enable it to reclaim all its territories. They will therefore have to multiply their attacks, bearing in mind that the Russians still have several cards up their sleeves, including the threat of a nuclear escalation. There is still a risk of nuclear blackmail – and indeed of such weapons being used, though this would come at a huge political cost for Moscow.