UK Politics Thread part II

[Moonlight]

Steptoe's son, "Starmer", was in Corbyn's government too you know, but he never had any honour to lose in the first place, it's a shame politicians don't follow union rules, "One Out All Out", or we'd have been shut of the lot of the Lefty Anti-Semitic bastards.

[Jimbuna]

Labour would win 154-seat majority if election held tomorrow, pollsters find

Rishi Sunak is on course to suffer a general election defeat similar to the Conservatives’ 1997 blowout, pollsters have found.

The latest YouGov polling has found Labour would win 403 seats from across the UK, leading to a 154-seat majority in the House of Commons.

The Conservatives would win just 155 seats, down from the 365 seats they won at the 2019 general election.

The analysis, which uses the multi-level regression and poststratification (MRP) method of polling, found that prominent Tory figures including Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordaunt, Sir Iain Duncan Smith, and Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg would be on course to lose their seats.

According to the pollsters, Rishi Sunak is heading for a worse result than John Major’s 1997 defeat, when the then-Tory leader won a total of 165 seats.

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Sir Keir Starmer is, meanwhile, on course to win a victory on par with that of Tony Blair’s in his first term of office.

In 1997, the party’s longest-serving prime minister won 418 of the available 659 Commons seats.

Other big Tory figures at risk of losing their seats include Cabinet members Michelle Donelan, the Science Secretary, and Welsh Secretary David TC Davies.

The model is based on vote intention data collected and analysed by YouGov from 18,761 British adults interviewed from March 7-27.

The Reform Party, led by Richard Tice, was found to have a growing share of the voting intention by YouGov.

It is not predicted to win any seats, and while it places second in 36 constituencies, it is not close to winning them.

The Lib Dems are meanwhile on course to grow their parliamentary comeback, with a projected win of 49 seats.

North of the border, YouGov estimates that Labour will be the largest party in Scotland.

They are projected to win 28 Scottish seats, followed by the SNP with 19.

The Lib Dems and Conservatives would win five each under the modelling.

The Green Party would continue to hold Brighton Pavilion according to the polling, the seat currently held by Caroline Lucas – who is standing down at the election.

The party is also a close second to Labour in the newly created Bristol Central seat.

In Wales, Plaid Cymru is expected to win a total of four seats, including the proposed Caerfyrddin constituency.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknew...5983f083&ei=13

[MGR1]

Not politics, but I wonder if this might be the beginning of the end for Balmoral as Royal Residence:

Would you pay £150 for tea and a tour at Balmoral?

Let's face it, it's a shooting estate with naff-all else to it. I can see William not being too keen to be closely associated with something that's now viewed as being a bit passé. Particularly when you factor in his charity work.

For all we know, Kate might be the same as Diana and hates the place.

Mike.

[Moonlight]

Well Charlie is going to open it up to the public isn't he?, he's never let the grass grow under his feet when there's money to be made. Balmoral should be given to the Scottish government to do with as they want, if that means tearing it down well, so be it.

[Jimbuna]

‘Might as well have stayed with Labour!’ Lee Anderson blasts ‘socialists in disguise’ for ‘destroying’ Tories

Lee Anderson has blamed One Nation Tories for the ‘destruction’ of the Conservative Party while making the staggering assertion that he ‘might as well’ have remained with the Labour Party.

The Reform MP last month opted to defect to Richard Tice’s party after being suspended by the Conservatives.

The party removed the whip from Anderson after he refused to apologise for claims Islamists had ‘control’ of London mayor Sadiq Khan, a decision he lamented in a GB News interview with Martin Daubney.

A new YouGov poll suggests things could be about to get a lot worse for the Tories with a forecast of over 400 seats for Labour at the next General Election.

The Reform MP told GB News: “There's that arrogance and I think they're getting a little bit concerned now and it's unfortunate because there are still some good Tories in the Conservative Party, some good Tory MPs who I'm still friends with who will probably lose their seats at the next election.

“Then there's some MPs who are not so good, a little bit wet, the One Nation lot, who I think have destroyed the Conservative Party.

“The One Nation lot are actually worse than what the Labour Party are, because they're just socialists in disguise...they're not talking about stuff that we talk about, the common-sense stuff, they hate talking about migration, illegal and legal migration.”

In a discussion with Martin Daubney, he continued: “When I moved the Reform party, or should I say when the whip was taken off me, I had lots of councillors contacting me, Conservative councillors from around the country saying they weren't standing again, they were resigning their membership.

“They're fed up, they’re not going to vote Conservative at the next election as well.

“So, that's the sort of place the party is in at the moment.

“It’s very sad because I've got a lot to thank the Conservative Party for.

“They gave me a political home but unfortunately that home wasn't the home I thought it was going to be. I might as well have stayed in the Labour Party. There’s no difference.”

Asked if Reform was splitting the Tory vote, he said: “You could say that the Conservative Party is splitting the vote. There's a lot of anger out there about the two-party politics…

“It's the same old song being chirped out by both political parties. They do not listen to the public and people, quite frankly, have had enough and the Reform party gives people an alternative.”

He went on to suggest there is no difference between the two parties who will be warring for power at the election, expected to take place later this year.

“The Labour Party and the Conservative Party are both out of touch, they need to get out more”, he said.

“They need to spend some time on the ground talking to real people. You can talk about the migrant crisis, you can talk about net zero, you can talk about anything, really.

“They’re completely out of touch.”
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/other...397b4056&ei=12

[Jimbuna]

Now seven in ten Scots want to see the back of 'divisive' Humza

Seven in ten Scots want Humza Yousaf and his cabinet out of office after ‘years of division and decline’, a new poll has revealed.

An overwhelming majority of Scots believe that a ‘fresh team of leaders’ is needed – while only a third think the SNP deserves to be re-elected.

Participants in the Ipsos poll were asked if they agreed the SNP deserved to be returned to power and also whether they agreed that fresh leadership is needed.

Nearly half – 46 per cent – wanted a new government at Holyrood as they did not think the SNP deserved re-election, and around a quarter – 23 per cent – were unsure.

Only 12 per cent thought the present leadership should stay while 70 per cent believed it should be replaced.

And fewer than 30 per cent agreed that ‘competent’ was an accurate way to describe the Scottish Government, whilst 46 per cent said they did not agree.

On specific policy areas, there have also been declines in how the public view the SNP’s handling of the NHS, education and living standards since Mr Yousaf took over as First Minister in March last year.

More than half (56 per cent) now believe the Scottish Government is doing a bad job at improving the NHS.

Only 23 per cent said it was doing a good job at boosting living standards for those on low incomes and just 24 per cent backed the job being done in improving education.

Scottish Tory chairman Craig Hoy said: ‘This damning poll shows Scots know the SNP’s independence obsession has been to the neglect of key public services.

‘Humza Yousaf and his colleagues have had their eye off the ball and have failed to tackle Scotland’s real priorities, with their constant push to break up the UK.’

Ipsos also looked at how Scots feel about the UK Government. It found 68 per cent don’t agree the Conservatives deserve another term in power and 87 per cent think Britain needs new leaders.

Asked if Labour are ready to form the next Holyrood administration, 36 per cent of voters disagreed, with 34 per cent agreeing, while the rest were unsure.

Ipsos surveyed 1,040 Scots between March 15 and March 26. Scottish Labour deputy leader Jackie Baillie said: ‘It’s clear the vast majority of Scots want change after years of division and decline under the SNP and the Tories.

‘Almost half of Scots trust Labour to form the next government. Change is possible and we are ready to deliver it.’

A spokesman for the First Minister said: The Scottish Government is working to deliver for the people of Scotland.

We have frozen council tax, our fair income tax policy is helping lift 100,000 children out of poverty and health service investment is seeing a record number of junior doctors join the NHS.’
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknew...&ei=72#image=1

[Moonlight]

You'll know if that poll's right if they give him the boot at the next GE, truth be told the whole party need to be booted out, a lot of scots are too far gone in the head to make that correct decision though.

[Jimbuna]

It took the Scots a long time to get sick of the poison dwarf but this guy seems to be breaking all previous popularity records.

[Jimbuna]

[MGR1]

Considering I have no time for the SNP or Reform UK, who's worse?

Scotland and the SNP or England and Reform UK?

Not much difference from where I'm sitting.

Mike.

[Jimbuna]

I doubt it matters very whoever gets in after the election but I'd like to see Labour given a turn in the hope I'll be paying fewer taxes on my pensions.

[Jimbuna]

[Moonlight]

Judy Murray backs JK Rowling in trans rights row: Tennis coach voices her support after author warned against 'dismantling' women's rights to 'accommodate trans-identified men' in 709-word social media post

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ified-men.html

How did this load of crap turn our politicians into nervous wrecks and retards, the House of Commons is always standing with someone, well, stand behind JK Rowling, and be right for once in your bleeding lives.

All this Transgender nonsense has always been a load of bollocks, it's a shame that most women are not showing some, STOP being an Emma Watson and START being a JK ROWLING, she's the only one who consistently shows any Common Sense on this subject.

I don't even know why people are debating this, a Man is a Man and a Woman is a Woman, I've been told it's a Biological Medical Fact and no amount of surgery is going to change that Fact.

[Jimbuna]

Tory MP William Wragg gives MPs blackmail advice in resurfaced clip

Tory MP William Wragg gives MPs blackmail advice two years before his honeytrap sexting scandal, in a resurfaced clip.

Mr Wragg said MPs should report matters to the speaker and the Metropolitan Police if being blackmailed, as he addressed Parliament in the 2022 clip.

Westminster has since been rocked by the sensational exposé of a honeytrap sexting scam targeting MPs, political journalists and parliamentary staffers.

Mr Wragg revealed he lay at the heart of the scandal, admitting that he shared his colleagues’ phone numbers for fear of intimate images of him being leaked.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknew...a4a890a8&ei=19

[MGR1]

Rowling's decided she wants to be a "Martyr to the Cause", nothing more.

She's an extremist as bad as those on the opposite side of the LGBTQ debate. Not much to choose between them, IMHO.

I've never liked the Harry Potter series anyway. Terry Pratchett did it much better.

Mike.