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04-29-24, 01:01 PM | #3316 | |
Chief of the Boat
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Zelensky: Russia taking advantage of slow arms delivery
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04-29-24, 02:11 PM | #3317 |
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Markus
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04-29-24, 02:29 PM | #3318 | ||
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Mobilize is a huge logistical project with some crucial bottlenecks. It's not just rigging up an enlistment centre all those people need uniforms, adequate armour, and they need training to get their basic skills back on track. Because if those soldiers can't shoot properly and aren't physically fit, what good are they on the front lines? On top of that, you need people to conduct those trainings. But all the soldiers are already at the front, so there are few executive officers available. Then those who conduct the training will probably also be recently called up reservists themselves. You really need two months for that basic training, even if reservists are experienced. After that, the soldiers have to go to the front, where functional training follows. This involves teaching the soldiers how to handle the equipment at hand, for example, how to drive the specific tanks that are being deployed. Here, the same problem applies ^ are those training tanks available at all, or are they all driving around in combat areas? Housing must also be rigged at the front for the fresh troops, and a large amount of food must be hauled in. Before all these things are arranged, you are four months away. This how we train our army Russian army get no training no care no support they are only prepared to become fertilizer, do not expect those troops are effective! The quality of the Ukrainian army is simply higher, and the Russians are now trying to compensate for that with superior quantity. In the past think of World War II against Nazi Germany this tactic worked for the Russians, but I don't think it will work again now. Back then the Russians were defending their own territory, but now they are actually invading another country whose people, moreover, they see as brotherly people. Consequently, Russian morale is very weak. Mentally, the Ukrainians are superior in every way, the quality of their leadership is better, but above all, the motivation of the soldiers to protect their country is enormous. That difference is not rectified with thousands of poorly trained and only half motivated reservists.
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04-29-24, 02:57 PM | #3319 |
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Markus
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04-29-24, 03:34 PM | #3320 |
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04-29-24, 04:03 PM | #3321 |
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Whether we, who support Ukraine, like it or not. The Russians have the momentum these days.
I don't know what the Ukrainian have to do to break this momentum. Markus
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04-29-24, 04:23 PM | #3322 |
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If you zoom out, that momentum is small they advance not that much the advance is about 1% as Ukraine advanced (that was a breakthrough Ukraine retook over 500 settlements and 12,000 square kilometres of territory in the Kharkiv region in 2022) Russia is not winning really why everybody think Russia has already won is beyond me. This is not a breakthrough!
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04-29-24, 04:25 PM | #3323 |
Soaring
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Its a war of attrition, Russia forced it splay onto Ukraine, long tiem ago already, this way eroding reserves needed for forming new brigades, and take the remaining Western tanks and IFVs out of play. Quality of troops counts less, quantity of ressources counters decisively.
Since the fall of Avdiivka they have in parts advanced 20 km. They are threatening to gain an operational breakthrough. Recent attacks of Ukraine of Crimea were meant to make headlines. Tactically they mean almost nothing if Ukraine has no troops in Crimea to push and gain relevant territory in the wake of the ATCAMS - of which it now has accordingly less already. Its not known how many the US provided, but the reserves are definitely limited for sure. The ATACMS were needed one year ago. As always: too late, too few. Russia has another 60km beforte it to reahc the district borders of Donbass and Luhansk and bring there territories under its control. While Putin seeks this triumpf for symbolicn reasons ove rthe May 9th festivities, do not get mislead. Its not vital for Russia to gain any further terrritory to win. It could in principle opt for just sitting where it now is and from this status quo continue to bomb Ukraione into poieces, day for day, night for night, until nothing essential is left anymore. That Putin does not do this but instead wastes troops for pushing forward shows no desperation but that he is extremely confident - enough so to think he can afford it. Ukraine looses more and more bridges, power reserves and production capacity every day and night, and slowly reduces Ukraine's very limited reserves slowly, but constantly. Who is boiling a frog now...? The only way to avoid the deadly outcome of this is to rush in material and reseves in quantities currently not imaginable and Ukraine mobilizing and readying a mass of new troops, so to enable Ukraine to break out of the Russian anaconda's embrace and counter attack decisively and cut the head off the body, so to speak. But I see no potential for building and arming forces needed for such an Ukrainian offensive. l not this years, and not next year. With what would they do that...? I think Ukraine can only hope to survive this struggle through decisive mistakes made by the Russians. But these are not the Russians of two years ago anymore. They learned an awesome lot and now are superior.
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04-29-24, 04:51 PM | #3324 |
Soaring
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https://www.fr.de/wirtschaft/russlan...-93042096.html
Economist is certain: Russia's economy cannot afford an end to the war in Ukraine [thats no typo or mistranslation, Skybird] Russia's economy is benefiting from the war in Ukraine - and is dependent on it at the same time. Putin cannot afford an end - according to one economist. Moscow - Russia's economy is growing - despite the war in Ukraine and sanctions. According to the Kremlin, gross domestic product rose by 5.5 percent in the third quarter of 2023 compared to the previous year. According to a forecast by the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, growth will still amount to 2.8 percent in 2024. According to experts, the Russian economy is not growing despite the war, but because of the war, on which the economy is already dependent. Economist Renaud Foucart is therefore convinced: “It is a war that Russia cannot afford to lose.” “The war in Ukraine is the most important driver of Russian economic growth,” the economist from Lancaster University stated in an article for The Conversation. Business Insider first reported on this. Foucart points to the transformation that the Russian economy has undergone as a result of the war. The state itself spends 40 percent of its budget on the war. According to the economist, soldiers' pay, expenditure on ammunition, tanks, aircraft and compensation for wounded or fallen soldiers also contribute to Russia's gross domestic product. Other reasons for the country's resilience include the regulation of foreign companies, which makes it almost impossible to withdraw money from Russia, the circumvention of sanctions and trade via third countries. Oil and gas exports also remain an important source of income. Other areas of the Russian economy, on the other hand, suffered from the ongoing war. According to the report, there is a shortage of labor, as young skilled workers are either fleeing the country or being drafted. According to Foucart, Russia lacks five million skilled workers. There is also a lack of direct investment in the country, which fell by 8.7 billion dollars in the first three quarters of 2023. Even a possible victory against Ukraine would not help Russia, according to the economist. It could not afford to rebuild and secure Ukraine. The costs would be too high and Russia would remain largely isolated from the rest of the world market. As a result, the country could “at best hope to become a junior partner that is completely dependent on China”, writes Foucart. “A protracted stalemate could be the only solution for Russia to avoid a total economic collapse,” concludes the expert. “The Russian regime has no incentive to end the war.” Russia can neither afford to win the war nor to lose it. ------------ War as an economic model means there is no incentive for peace.
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04-29-24, 04:56 PM | #3325 | |
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Quote:
One is hoping the weapon aids to Ukraine may turn the tide in Ukraine favour. Markus
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04-29-24, 10:00 PM | #3326 |
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What a whiny biotch. Sugar daddy might need to upgrade.
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04-29-24, 11:05 PM | #3327 |
Ocean Warrior
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Some points to ponder: -Putin has nukes. Yes, he's had an arsenal of warheads since he came into power. He will probably have the same arsenal once the current conflict is settled, one way or another. He also has a bad habit of shooting his messengers and pundits. What happens will be entirely up to Putin, and damn the torpedo's. -Russia has had experience with "resets" and large scale changes for over 100 years. Yet, the more things change -the more they stay the same. -Appeasement is not even an option. If Western Europe ramps up for a war, they will get one. If they do nothing, Putin will invade somewhere else. If they all decide to roll over and play nice, Putin will still invade somewhere else. Now, discuss. If you follow this YouTube series, the same speaker later talks about China and the South China Sea. I haven't watched it yet, but it looks to be worth while. The theme to these videos could also be thought of as "Nice lady explains the world to Zoomers". When someone punches you in the nose, you don't blog about it. You punch back. |
04-30-24, 07:53 AM | #3328 |
Wayfaring Stranger
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That is pretty condescending considering that the Ukrainians are bleeding and dying in real life for lack of ammo to fight their invaders. Maybe you think this is all some grift but they are the ones shedding blood here, not us.
Have you ever read anything about the American delegation to the French court of Louis the XVI during our revolution? Talk about whiny. Our pleas for assistance were far more numerous, extensive and desperate than anything coming from the Ukrainians.
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04-30-24, 12:25 PM | #3329 | |
Chief of the Boat
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Russia 'on brink of collapse' as Putin can't get his hands on one basic thing for missiles
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04-30-24, 12:57 PM | #3330 | |
Chief of the Boat
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Ukraine Begins Receiving New Weapons from U.S.
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