Well Russia is no friend of NATO, I do for one believe that NATO forces are preparing just in case but not for a first strike but to counter what's being built up in Ukraine Russian border.
I don't see us going to war for Ukraine simply because NATO is split on the idea and some states are not willing to invoke article 5 as Ukraine is not a NATO member.
The question is would Putin invade Ukraine ?
I would give that a 50/50 it depends on how the west box Russia in, however Russia does have a bit of a hold on Europe in Gas supplies (roughly 25% of EU gas comes from Russia)
Is Russia capable of a Long protracted war, well financially yes they have a much lower debt to GDP ratio to nearly all the western countries even with covid but the money markets are squarely in the west that leaves only really Iran and China to free up financing.
China may use any distraction in Ukraine as a cover to get Taiwan believing the West cannot fight on two fronts.
Something else is going on in the background seems to me like this is a classic deception move to cover for something else and i do think we should be looking at China and not Russia
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