OK, I figured this out - you have to have Doctrine Language enabled in order to identify the problem but it comes down to this:
If you look at this mission in the mission editor then you will see that goals 13 and 14 are the ones relating to Observing the Missile Test. The end time for goal 14 (which is the easier mission if you weren't detected during the egress) is 11:30. If you look at the doctrine language for this mission it says that goal 14 can only be completed when both goals 5 and 15 have already been completed AND 2 minutes has passed since goal 15 was completed.
If the first missile the Udaloy fires does not hit the A300 then by the time the 2 minutes has passed since the Airbus was killed by a second missile the time has gone beyond 11:30 and the goal can't be completed.
So, change the end time to 11:32 or later and the mission completes. The same thing is probably true of goal 13 in this mission for the Seawolf and the equivalent mission goals in the 688i campaign.
Problem solved, the mission will now be completed successfully when you play the campaign.
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