[Skybird]

Huge success? They are dealing with just the first of three defense lines. The third line is the real obstacle, the first two are just meant to delay them, they are weak. Read the orange part in the essay I posted above.



Only a real breakthrough through the full 25 km deep defense zone is of value, just gaining and giving some terrain back and forth means little. Ifd they cannot even crash just through the first two lines, then they have no real chanc eprobaly to ever get throzugh the third.



I do not say they cannot get there. I just want to counter the imo overly optimistic enthusiasm that some internet sources show. This offensive is extremely difficult, the chances are slightly against Ukraine at this stage at least, a success is not certain, and even a success will not end the war. The risk of catastrophic losses is very high.



I agree with those media who write that the outcome of this offensive will have decisive influence on the ultimate outcome of the war.