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ikalugin · 03-29-20, 02:38 PM

Another +20 percent growth in cases today, most (70 percent) of the new cases are in Moscow. This means that we are probably looking at doubling the number of cases every 4 days and now mostly secondary infections within the country. We can look at the US to see how this sort of thing affects a country.

I guess we were a bit late with the quarantine as we would be seeing that growth being maintained over the next days-weeks probably by inertia of already exposed people developing symptoms or being tested.

Othewise from tommorow the city is on the now standard lock down, you are not allowed to go outside unless on urgent business etc. Without it and if the current rates keep up we could be looking at NYC tier problem for Moscow in 2 weeks and the health care system completely overwhelmed in 4.

03-29-20, 02:38 PM	#2077
ikalugin Ocean Warrior Join Date: Aug 2014 Location: Moscow, Russia Posts: 3,212 Downloads: 8 Uploads: 0	Another +20 percent growth in cases today, most (70 percent) of the new cases are in Moscow. This means that we are probably looking at doubling the number of cases every 4 days and now mostly secondary infections within the country. We can look at the US to see how this sort of thing affects a country. I guess we were a bit late with the quarantine as we would be seeing that growth being maintained over the next days-weeks probably by inertia of already exposed people developing symptoms or being tested. Othewise from tommorow the city is on the now standard lock down, you are not allowed to go outside unless on urgent business etc. Without it and if the current rates keep up we could be looking at NYC tier problem for Moscow in 2 weeks and the health care system completely overwhelmed in 4. __________________ Grumpy as always. Last edited by ikalugin; 03-29-20 at 03:15 PM.